Marc Ambinder on Scenarios

Marc has published some plausible scenarios for each of the top 5 Republican candidates can win the nomination. I think he is more or less on target. Here is his scenario for Fred:

Fred Thompson could win the nomination if..... Thompson hangs in there, benefits from a Huckabee fall in Iowa -- i.e., Huckabee CANNOT win Iowa in this scenario, which means that Romney wins Iowa which means that Romney probably wins New Hampshire; Thompson somehow wins South Carolina and wins Southern states on Feb. 5; Romney and Giuliani battle in some northern states (and Romney maybe even wins one), and Thompson lives to fight Giuliani or Romney as the conservative alternative.

I agree that Huckabee is sucking the air out of the room for Fred right now and he needs to Huck-a-bust.