There is an interesting blog over at RedState that lays out in fairly technical language the fact that a dynamic MAY be at work in this year's primary season that would help Fred.
I am going to summarize and simplify the post:
1. Fred stands still.
2. As others drop out, their support comes to him because Fred is the candidate that most all can accept.
3. Fred wins the nomination as the groupings come down to three or two options.
I am doing the blog entry a great disservice. Please read the article. But the point is that Fred does not have to win Iowa. He does not even have to win South Carolina, though that would make the process easier. Mostly, he has to remain viable.
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