Saturday, January 5, 2008

New Hampshire Thoughts

A couple of developments regarding New Hampshire:

First, a Huck aid has said a revealing thing about not only New Hampshire, but about Huck:
His aides are wary of New Hampshire. "It's all no tax, no government there," said Bob Wickers, a top strategist. "It's not ideal."
No joke--Huck is not a low tax, smaller government candidate. His fair tax stuff does not convince anyone that he is for tax cuts.

Second, is the latest Rasmussen Reports New Hampshire Poll. Rasmussen has Fred up to 5 from 2; Rudy is at 8; Huck at 11. Fred will certainly not put any effort into New Hampshire other than the debates this weekend, but wouldn't it be great for Fred to beat either one or both of these guys!

6 comments:

Morgan said...

It would be great if Fred finished better than Giuliani or Huckabee. It certainly would help him by the time South Carolina goes to vote.

Anonymous said...

NH thinks: Fred is Dead, Paul is at 14% and will beat Huck, Fred and Rudy! Yahhhh

We hate taxes we hate government and no matter how much Huck shapeshifts, he's not going to slime us.

We won't be Huckabeed.

Morgan said...

Fred is dead? Somebody should tell "anonymous" to not count the chickens before they're hatched.

Joel Harris said...

anonymous's comment is quite odd, BUT what he may be saying is that Fred is dead in NH, which is true. It would be nice to see him pop to, say, 8%, but I'm not sure it will happen. Equally good would be Huck dropping to 7% in that scenario.

Morgan said...

That's what I thought "anonymous" was saying as well, and I know Fred's odds in NH aren't good, but there is still that distinct possibility he may finish better than expected. It happened in Iowa, it could happen again tomorrow.

Joel Harris said...

It is possible. Fred has left expectations at 2 to 3 percent. But Fred learned a long time ago (i.e. the third quarter financial estimate) to make sure that you underestimate what is going to happen.

Realistically, he could end up at 5 or 7% and a wonderful surprise would be if he beats Rudy.