Tuesday, June 26, 2007

FDT Closing on Obama

A new Rasmussen poll has FDT behind Obama 43 to 41. The only problem with this report is that Real Clear Politics lists three other current polls (CNN, Cook and Newsweek) that have Obama up 11 to 14 points. The difference between the polls is that Rasmussen used "Likely Voters" and the others used "Registered Voters".

FDT is now up 4 points against Giuliani in Rasmussen's poll for the Republican nomination. These are strange polls with CNN has Giuliani up 30 to 19; Cook has the race at 20 to 20 Giuliani tied with McCain (who are they talking to?); Newsweek has Giuliani up 27 to 19. My guess is that there is a similar difference in these polls as in the general election polls: Rasmussen are probably doing Likely Voters versus the others doing Registered Republicans.

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